Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.33) 1.43 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.7% 26.7% 47.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Arda Kardzhali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 9.0% 12.9% 9.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.3% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotiv SofiaArda Kardzhali
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack43%50%
Defense64%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia Arda Kardzhali
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins13%38%25%22%43%31%
Draws50%38%44%33%14%25%
Loses38%25%31%44%43%44%

Form: Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDDLLDWLW • Arda Kardzhali: LDWDLDLWLLWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia Arda Kardzhali
HATHAT
GF total881671118
GF avg1.01.01.00.81.61.1
GA total871510919
GA avg1.00.90.91.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotiv SofiaArda Kardzhali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%69%50%69%
1.525%25%31%38%
2.513%0%19%13%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotiv SofiaArda Kardzhali
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score336538

Penalties

MetricLokomotiv SofiaArda Kardzhali
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLokomotiv SofiaArda Kardzhali
Wins21
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-00-5
Biggest losses1-22-00-33-0
Goals For3335
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricLokomotiv SofiaArda Kardzhali
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h7%93%
Goals9%91%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arda Kardzhali

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ 188Bet
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Sofia = 0.98 (league 1.33), Arda Kardzhali = 1.43 (league 1.12)

Arda Kardzhali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 9.0% 12.9% 9.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.3% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 47.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1