Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 13:30 • Stadion Beroe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.32) 0.98 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.4% 35.2% 45.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.1%
0 - 1
21.7%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beroe 0 22.1% 21.7% 10.6% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.7% 11.5% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBeroeCherno More Varna
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack18%12%
Defense35%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Beroe Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
Played79168917
Wins29%11%19%38%44%41%
Draws43%33%38%38%33%35%
Loses29%56%44%25%22%24%

Form: Beroe: DDLWLDWDWLDLLLDL • Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWWDWLDDWLL

League goals

Metric Beroe Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
GF total7815111021
GF avg1.00.90.91.41.11.2
GA total719267613
GA avg1.02.11.60.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBeroeCherno More Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%71%59%
1.519%50%29%12%
2.56%25%18%6%
3.50%13%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBeroeCherno More Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets325347
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricBeroeCherno More Varna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBeroeCherno More Varna
Wins12
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-01-3
Biggest losses1-35-11-32-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricBeroeCherno More Varna
Form17%83%
Att60%40%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cherno More Varna and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away1.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Beroe = 0.53 (league 1.32), Cherno More Varna = 0.98 (league 1.13)

Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beroe 0 22.1% 21.7% 10.6% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.7% 11.5% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 45.3%

vtt 3 , vtd1