Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 11:00 • National Stadium Vasil Levski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.33) 1.45 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.6% 26.7% 49.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
CSKA 1948
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia 0 9.5% 13.7% 9.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.9% 5.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeptemvri SofiaCSKA 1948
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack31%44%
Defense19%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Septemvri Sofia CSKA 1948
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins25%22%24%78%38%59%
Draws13%11%12%11%25%18%
Loses63%67%65%11%38%24%

Form: Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLLDDWLLWLL • CSKA 1948: WDWLWWLWWWDWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Septemvri Sofia CSKA 1948
HATHAT
GF total991820727
GF avg1.11.01.12.20.91.6
GA total14233710919
GA avg1.82.62.21.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeptemvri SofiaCSKA 1948
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%88%82%71%
1.524%65%41%24%
2.56%29%18%12%
3.56%12%12%6%
4.50%12%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeptemvri SofiaCSKA 1948
HATHAT
Clean sheets112235
Failed to score235123

Penalties

MetricSeptemvri SofiaCSKA 1948
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSeptemvri SofiaCSKA 1948
Wins13
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-44-01-2
Biggest losses1-37-00-13-0
Goals For2452
Goals Against3743

Model comparison

MetricSeptemvri SofiaCSKA 1948
Form30%70%
Att42%58%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total30.8%69.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CSKA 1948

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away1.57 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Sofia = 0.91 (league 1.33), CSKA 1948 = 1.45 (league 1.12)

CSKA 1948
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia 0 9.5% 13.7% 9.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.9% 5.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.6% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 49.3%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1