Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 13:30 • Ogosta Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.33) 1.34 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.8% 28.4% 52.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.8%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montana 0 13.3% 17.8% 12.0% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.0% 12.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.0% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontanaLokomotiv Sofia
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack20%30%
Defense45%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montana Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins25%11%18%11%38%24%
Draws38%22%29%56%38%47%
Loses38%67%53%33%25%29%

Form: Montana: LDLDLWWWLLLDDLLLD • Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDDLLDWLWD

League goals

Metric Montana Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
GF total85138816
GF avg1.00.60.80.91.00.9
GA total1219318715
GA avg1.52.11.80.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontanaLokomotiv Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%59%65%
1.56%53%24%24%
2.50%35%12%0%
3.50%12%0%0%
4.50%12%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontanaLokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets325336
Failed to score145437

Penalties

MetricMontanaLokomotiv Sofia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMontanaLokomotiv Sofia
Wins32
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-01-3
Biggest losses1-55-01-22-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against5522

Model comparison

MetricMontanaLokomotiv Sofia
Form20%80%
Att40%60%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotiv Sofia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montana = 0.68 (league 1.33), Lokomotiv Sofia = 1.34 (league 1.12)

Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montana 0 13.3% 17.8% 12.0% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.0% 12.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.0% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.8% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 52.5%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1