Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 13:30 • Hristo Botev Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.32) 0.57 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.2% 45.7% 31.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.7%
0 - 1
20.5%
1 - 0
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botev Vratsa 0 35.7% 20.5% 5.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 9.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotev VratsaSpartak Varna
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack21%29%
Defense71%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botev Vratsa Spartak Varna
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins25%33%29%22%13%18%
Draws38%33%35%33%63%47%
Loses38%33%35%44%25%35%

Form: Botev Vratsa: DLDDDWWLDWLLWDWLL • Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWDDDWLLDL

League goals

Metric Botev Vratsa Spartak Varna
HATHAT
GF total581311617
GF avg0.60.90.81.20.81.0
GA total6101617825
GA avg0.81.10.91.91.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotev VratsaSpartak Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%59%71%76%
1.524%29%18%41%
2.50%6%12%18%
3.50%0%0%12%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotev VratsaSpartak Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score448235

Penalties

MetricBotev VratsaSpartak Varna
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBotev VratsaSpartak Varna
Wins22
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-42-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricBotev VratsaSpartak Varna
Form64%36%
Att43%57%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h25%75%
Goals40%60%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Botev Vratsa or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botev Vratsa = 0.46 (league 1.32), Spartak Varna = 0.57 (league 1.11)

Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botev Vratsa 0 35.7% 20.5% 5.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 9.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.2% · Draw 45.7% · Away win 31.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1