Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.33) 3.06 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.7% 10.9% 74.4%
best score tips
0 - 3
10.9%
0 - 2
10.7%
0 - 4
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Levski Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 2.3% 7.0% 10.7% 10.9% 8.3% 5.1%
1 1.7% 5.0% 7.7% 7.9% 6.0% 3.7%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak VarnaLevski Sofia
Played55
Form7%60%
Attack8%100%
Defense8%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Varna Levski Sofia
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins22%11%17%78%67%72%
Draws33%56%44%11%11%11%
Loses44%33%39%11%22%17%

Form: Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWDDDWLLDLL • Levski Sofia: WWWWDWWDLWWWWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Spartak Varna Levski Sofia
HATHAT
GF total11617241640
GF avg1.20.70.92.71.82.2
GA total1710274711
GA avg1.91.11.50.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak VarnaLevski Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%72%56%
1.517%44%67%6%
2.511%17%39%0%
3.50%11%17%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak VarnaLevski Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224538
Failed to score246235

Penalties

MetricSpartak VarnaLevski Sofia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricSpartak VarnaLevski Sofia
Wins25
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-27-01-5
Biggest losses0-42-00-12-0
Goals For3275
Goals Against4212

Model comparison

MetricSpartak VarnaLevski Sofia
Form10%90%
Att6%94%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h15%85%
Goals21%79%
Total16.0%84.0%

Advice: Winner : Levski Sofia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home17.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw7.01 @ Pinnacle
Away1.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.57 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Spartak Varna = 0.72 (league 1.33), Levski Sofia = 3.06 (league 1.12)

Levski Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 2.3% 7.0% 10.7% 10.9% 8.3% 5.1%
1 1.7% 5.0% 7.7% 7.9% 6.0% 3.7%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.7% · Draw 10.9% · Away win 74.4%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1