Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:00 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.32) 1.54 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.9% 25.2% 62.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.0%
0 - 2
15.4%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 13.0% 20.0% 15.4% 7.9% 3.0% 0.9%
1 6.5% 10.0% 7.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
2 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack55%100%
Defense64%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia Ludogorets
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins20%44%32%56%50%53%
Draws50%33%42%33%40%37%
Loses30%22%26%11%10%11%

Form: Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDDLLDWLWDWW • Ludogorets: WWWWDWDDWDDLDLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia Ludogorets
HATHAT
GF total111021181735
GF avg1.11.11.12.01.71.8
GA total108187613
GA avg1.00.90.90.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%68%79%37%
1.532%26%58%11%
2.516%0%26%11%
3.50%0%16%5%
4.50%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets3364812
Failed to score437134

Penalties

MetricLokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
Wins24
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-35-00-4
Biggest losses1-22-02-35-4
Goals For3354
Goals Against2235

Model comparison

MetricLokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
Form43%57%
Att35%65%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h7%93%
Goals13%87%
Total23.8%76.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ludogorets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.75 @ Unibet
Draw4.10 @ Superbet
Away1.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Sofia = 0.50 (league 1.32), Ludogorets = 1.54 (league 1.11)

Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 13.0% 20.0% 15.4% 7.9% 3.0% 0.9%
1 6.5% 10.0% 7.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
2 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 62.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1