Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 10:30 • Ticha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.31) 0.51 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 31.5% 16.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.9%
0 - 0
18.6%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 18.6% 9.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.9% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack55%18%
Defense64%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cherno More Varna Spartak Varna
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%50%47%20%11%16%
Draws33%30%32%30%56%42%
Loses22%20%21%50%33%42%

Form: Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWWDWLDDWLLWW • Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWDDDWLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Cherno More Varna Spartak Varna
HATHAT
GF total13122512618
GF avg1.41.21.31.20.70.9
GA total7714201030
GA avg0.80.70.72.01.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%58%68%79%
1.537%11%16%47%
2.516%5%11%21%
3.55%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets448224
Failed to score235246

Penalties

MetricCherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
Wins22
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-32-10-42-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against3242

Model comparison

MetricCherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
Form90%10%
Att75%25%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total77.8%22.2%

Advice: Double chance : Cherno More Varna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Unibet
Draw4.61 @ Pinnacle
Away8.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cherno More Varna = 1.17 (league 1.31), Spartak Varna = 0.51 (league 1.10)

Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 18.6% 9.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.9% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 16.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1