Fri, Feb 13 2026 • 15:45 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.29) 2.00 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.9% 20.7% 62.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.7%
0 - 2
11.7%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 5.9% 11.7% 11.7% 7.8% 3.9% 1.6%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.8% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.1% 4.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack8%54%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Varna Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins20%10%15%18%44%30%
Draws30%60%45%45%33%40%
Loses50%30%40%36%22%30%
Spartak VarnaDDDLLDLWWDDDWLLDLLLD
Lokomotiv SofiaDDWWDDLLDDLLDWLWDWWL

League goals

Metric Spartak Varna Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
GF total12618121022
GF avg1.20.60.91.11.11.1
GA total20103013821
GA avg2.01.01.51.20.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%75%65%70%
1.515%45%30%30%
2.510%20%15%5%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets235336
Failed to score257437

Penalties

MetricSpartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSpartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
Wins22
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-01-3
Biggest losses0-42-01-32-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against4232

Model comparison

MetricSpartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
Form17%83%
Att13%88%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total30.3%69.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away1.98 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.76 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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