Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 16:00 • Stadion Hristo Botev
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.32) 2.27 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.9% 14.0% 79.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
19.3%
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 3
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botev Plovdiv 0 7.5% 17.0% 19.3% 14.6% 8.3% 3.8%
1 2.4% 5.4% 6.2% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
2 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotev PlovdivLudogorets
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack50%100%
Defense13%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botev Plovdiv Ludogorets
HATHAT
Played101020101121
Wins20%30%25%60%55%57%
Draws30%10%20%30%36%33%
Loses50%60%55%10%9%10%

Form: Botev Plovdiv: DLLLWLLWLLWDLWLWDLDL • Ludogorets: WWWWDWDDWDDLDLWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Botev Plovdiv Ludogorets
HATHAT
GF total71421202040
GF avg0.71.41.12.01.81.9
GA total1418328715
GA avg1.41.81.60.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotev PlovdivLudogorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%90%81%43%
1.535%40%62%10%
2.55%20%29%10%
3.50%5%14%5%
4.50%5%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotev PlovdivLudogorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets1124812
Failed to score527134

Penalties

MetricBotev PlovdivLudogorets
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricBotev PlovdivLudogorets
Wins14
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-35-00-4
Biggest losses0-53-02-35-4
Goals For2354
Goals Against5335

Model comparison

MetricBotev PlovdivLudogorets
Form28%72%
Att25%75%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total22.0%78.0%

Advice: Winner : Ludogorets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.50 @ Betano
Draw4.85 @ Pinnacle
Away1.47 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botev Plovdiv = 0.32 (league 1.32), Ludogorets = 2.27 (league 1.11)

Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botev Plovdiv 0 7.5% 17.0% 19.3% 14.6% 8.3% 3.8%
1 2.4% 5.4% 6.2% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
2 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.9% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 79.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1