Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 16:00 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.32) 0.87 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 18.1% 12.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 4.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.8% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.4% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack100%43%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins25%33%29%33%17%25%
Draws42%33%38%8%17%13%
Loses33%33%33%58%67%63%

Form: Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDDLLDWLWDWWLDLWL • Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLLDDWLLWLLLDLWWLL

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
GF total15153013922
GF avg1.31.31.31.10.80.9
GA total141630212849
GA avg1.21.31.31.82.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%63%79%
1.538%38%21%63%
2.521%8%4%33%
3.50%4%4%13%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score448369

Penalties

MetricLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Wins22
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-01-4
Biggest losses1-32-01-47-0
Goals For3324
Goals Against3447

Model comparison

MetricLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Form40%60%
Att75%25%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Winner : Lokomotiv Sofia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw3.74 @ Marathonbet
Away5.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.78 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Sofia = 2.27 (league 1.32), Septemvri Sofia = 0.87 (league 1.10)

Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 4.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.8% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.4% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 12.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1