Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 16:00 • Huvepharma Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.32) 0.87 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.9% 19.6% 14.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 5.0% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.6% 9.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.9% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack79%36%
Defense64%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ludogorets Lokomotiv Plovdiv
HATHAT
Played101222111021
Wins60%50%55%55%20%38%
Draws30%33%32%36%60%48%
Loses10%17%14%9%20%14%

Form: Ludogorets: WWWWDWDDWDDLDLWWWDWWWL • Lokomotiv Plovdiv: WDWDWDWDLWDWDWDDLLWDD

League goals

Metric Ludogorets Lokomotiv Plovdiv
HATHAT
GF total202141121224
GF avg2.01.81.91.11.21.1
GA total891761420
GA avg0.80.80.80.51.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%81%62%
1.559%14%29%24%
2.527%9%5%5%
3.514%5%0%5%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets4812628
Failed to score134224

Penalties

MetricLudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricLudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
Wins41
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-43-00-2
Biggest losses2-35-40-24-0
Goals For5432
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricLudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
Form67%33%
Att69%31%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Winner : Ludogorets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.80 @ Unibet
Away9.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ludogorets = 2.12 (league 1.32), Lokomotiv Plovdiv = 0.87 (league 1.10)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 5.0% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.6% 9.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.9% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 14.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1