Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:30 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.32) 1.93 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 20.6% 65.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
0 - 2
13.9%
1 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
CSKA Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia 0 7.5% 14.4% 13.9% 8.9% 4.3% 1.7%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.3% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeptemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack20%80%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Septemvri Sofia CSKA Sofia
HATHAT
Played101121111122
Wins30%18%24%64%36%50%
Draws10%18%14%27%36%32%
Loses60%64%62%9%27%18%

Form: Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLLDDWLLWLLLDLW • CSKA Sofia: DDLDLDWLDDDWWWWWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Septemvri Sofia CSKA Sofia
HATHAT
GF total11920201333
GF avg1.10.81.01.81.21.5
GA total1826448917
GA avg1.82.42.10.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeptemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%81%73%68%
1.519%62%41%9%
2.55%33%23%0%
3.55%14%9%0%
4.50%10%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeptemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224347
Failed to score257336

Penalties

MetricSeptemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricSeptemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Wins17
Draws23
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-45-10-4
Biggest losses1-47-00-12-0
Goals For2454
Goals Against4712

Model comparison

MetricSeptemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
Form25%75%
Att20%80%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h20%80%
Goals18%82%
Total21.8%78.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CSKA Sofia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.00 @ Marathonbet
Draw5.17 @ Pinnacle
Away1.32 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.02 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Sofia = 0.67 (league 1.32), CSKA Sofia = 1.93 (league 1.12)

CSKA Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia 0 7.5% 14.4% 13.9% 8.9% 4.3% 1.7%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.3% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 65.9%

vtt 5 , vtd1