Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 11:30 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.32) 0.71 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.6% 22.8% 14.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Montana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 8.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 10.6% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.7% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak VarnaMontana
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack29%0%
Defense50%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.80 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Varna Montana
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins18%8%13%18%8%13%
Draws36%58%48%36%25%30%
Loses45%33%39%45%67%57%

Form: Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWDDDWLLDLLLDDDL • Montana: LDLDLWWWLLLDDLLLDLDLLLD

League goals

Metric Spartak Varna Montana
HATHAT
GF total147219514
GF avg1.30.60.90.80.40.6
GA total221234152136
GA avg2.01.01.51.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak VarnaMontana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%78%57%70%
1.517%43%4%43%
2.59%17%0%26%
3.50%9%0%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak VarnaMontana
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score2683710

Penalties

MetricSpartak VarnaMontana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSpartak VarnaMontana
Wins23
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-42-01-55-0
Goals For3221
Goals Against4255

Model comparison

MetricSpartak VarnaMontana
Form60%40%
Att100%0%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total61.6%38.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Spartak Varna or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Unibet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Varna = 1.77 (league 1.32), Montana = 0.71 (league 1.12)

Montana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 8.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 10.6% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.7% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.6% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 14.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1