Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 13:45 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.32) 0.59 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 39.1% 25.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.2%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
CSKA 1948
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 26.2% 15.4% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 11.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack50%40%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Plovdiv CSKA 1948
HATHAT
Played111122121123
Wins55%18%36%58%55%57%
Draws36%64%50%17%18%17%
Loses9%18%14%25%27%26%

Form: Lokomotiv Plovdiv: WDWDWDWDLWDWDWDDLLWDDD • CSKA 1948: WDWLWWLWWWDWWDLLWWDWLLW

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Plovdiv CSKA 1948
HATHAT
GF total121325211435
GF avg1.11.21.11.81.31.5
GA total61521151025
GA avg0.51.41.01.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%78%65%
1.527%23%39%26%
2.55%5%17%13%
3.50%5%13%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
HATHAT
Clean sheets628358
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
Wins13
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-01-4
Biggest losses0-24-01-33-0
Goals For3254
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
Form46%54%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h7%93%
Goals17%83%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or CSKA 1948 and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Plovdiv = 0.75 (league 1.32), CSKA 1948 = 0.59 (league 1.11)

CSKA 1948
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 26.2% 15.4% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 11.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 39.1% · Away win 25.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1