Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 16:30 • Huvepharma Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.32) 1.45 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.0% 26.1% 43.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Levski Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 7.4% 10.7% 7.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.4% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.9% 7.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLudogoretsLevski Sofia
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack92%100%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.216 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ludogorets Levski Sofia
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%50%52%83%73%78%
Draws36%33%35%8%9%9%
Loses9%17%13%8%18%13%

Form: Ludogorets: WWWWDWDDWDDLDLWWWDWWWLD • Levski Sofia: WWWWDWWDLWWWWWLWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Ludogorets Levski Sofia
HATHAT
GF total212142342256
GF avg1.91.81.82.82.02.4
GA total99188917
GA avg0.80.80.80.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLudogoretsLevski Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%48%78%61%
1.557%13%74%9%
2.526%9%52%4%
3.513%4%17%0%
4.54%4%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLudogoretsLevski Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets4812639
Failed to score134235

Penalties

MetricLudogoretsLevski Sofia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricLudogoretsLevski Sofia
Wins45
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-47-01-5
Biggest losses2-35-40-12-0
Goals For5475
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricLudogoretsLevski Sofia
Form40%60%
Att41%59%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total53.0%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Ludogorets or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ludogorets = 1.15 (league 1.32), Levski Sofia = 1.45 (league 1.11)

Levski Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 7.4% 10.7% 7.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.4% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.9% 7.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 43.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1