Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 16:30 • Stadion Hristo Botev
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.33) 1.00 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.0% 26.5% 26.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botev Plovdiv 0 8.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.5% 12.5% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.1% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotev PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack27%27%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botev Plovdiv Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins27%27%27%36%18%27%
Draws27%18%23%9%18%14%
Loses45%55%50%55%64%59%

Form: Botev Plovdiv: DLLLWLLWLLWDLWLWDLDLWD • Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLLDDWLLWLLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Botev Plovdiv Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
GF total9142313922
GF avg0.81.31.01.20.81.0
GA total151833182644
GA avg1.41.61.51.62.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotev PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%68%77%
1.536%36%23%59%
2.55%18%5%32%
3.50%5%5%14%
4.50%5%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotev PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score538257

Penalties

MetricBotev PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricBotev PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
Wins11
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-01-4
Biggest losses0-53-01-47-0
Goals For2324
Goals Against5347

Model comparison

MetricBotev PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Botev Plovdiv or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw4.30 @ Unibet
Away7.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botev Plovdiv = 1.45 (league 1.33), Septemvri Sofia = 1.00 (league 1.12)

Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botev Plovdiv 0 8.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.5% 12.5% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.1% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.0% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 26.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1