Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 14:00 • Ticha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.32) 0.70 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 33.4% 24.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
18.2%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Arda Kardzhali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 18.2% 12.8% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.8% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.1% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack27%40%
Defense80%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cherno More Varna Arda Kardzhali
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins36%42%39%33%36%35%
Draws45%33%39%33%27%30%
Loses18%25%22%33%36%35%

Form: Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWWDWLDDWLLWWDDDL • Arda Kardzhali: LDWDLDLWLLWLDLWWDDWLWDW

League goals

Metric Cherno More Varna Arda Kardzhali
HATHAT
GF total131427101424
GF avg1.21.21.20.81.31.0
GA total71017111223
GA avg0.60.80.70.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%57%52%57%
1.530%13%30%30%
2.513%4%13%13%
3.54%0%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
HATHAT
Clean sheets64105510
Failed to score4376511

Penalties

MetricCherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
Wins22
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-00-5
Biggest losses1-32-10-33-0
Goals For4335
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricCherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals20%80%
Total41.7%58.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Arda Kardzhali and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away3.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cherno More Varna = 1.00 (league 1.32), Arda Kardzhali = 0.70 (league 1.11)

Arda Kardzhali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 18.2% 12.8% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.8% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.1% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 24.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1