Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:45 • National Stadium Vasil Levski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.32) 0.88 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.4% 23.1% 18.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
CSKA Sofia 0 7.0% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.0% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack50%86%
Defense79%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CSKA Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Played121224121123
Wins67%33%50%25%36%30%
Draws25%33%29%42%36%39%
Loses8%33%21%33%27%30%

Form: CSKA Sofia: DDLDLDWLDDDWWWWWWWLWWWLW • Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDDLLDWLWDWWLDLW

League goals

Metric CSKA Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
GF total211334151530
GF avg1.81.11.41.31.41.3
GA total81119141428
GA avg0.70.90.81.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%67%70%74%
1.538%13%39%35%
2.521%0%22%9%
3.58%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets448336
Failed to score347437

Penalties

MetricCSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricCSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Wins72
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-01-3
Biggest losses0-12-01-32-0
Goals For5433
Goals Against1234

Model comparison

MetricCSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Form63%37%
Att37%63%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Double chance : CSKA Sofia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Unibet
Draw4.36 @ Pinnacle
Away6.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CSKA Sofia = 1.77 (league 1.32), Lokomotiv Sofia = 0.88 (league 1.11)

Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
CSKA Sofia 0 7.0% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.0% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 18.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1