Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 16:00 • Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.32) 0.60 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 34.5% 21.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.5%
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Slavia Sofia 0 20.5% 12.3% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 12.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.9% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSlavia SofiaSpartak Varna
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack36%36%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Slavia Sofia Spartak Varna
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%25%33%25%8%17%
Draws33%25%29%33%58%46%
Loses25%50%38%42%33%38%

Form: Slavia Sofia: DLLLLWDLDDWDDWWWWWDLLLLW • Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWDDDWLLDLLLDDDLW

League goals

Metric Slavia Sofia Spartak Varna
HATHAT
GF total15122715722
GF avg1.31.01.11.30.60.9
GA total131528221234
GA avg1.11.31.21.81.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSlavia SofiaSpartak Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%67%67%75%
1.533%42%17%42%
2.58%8%8%17%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSlavia SofiaSpartak Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets538336
Failed to score527268

Penalties

MetricSlavia SofiaSpartak Varna
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSlavia SofiaSpartak Varna
Wins52
Draws23
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-42-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricSlavia SofiaSpartak Varna
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Slavia Sofia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Unibet
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Slavia Sofia = 0.98 (league 1.32), Spartak Varna = 0.60 (league 1.10)

Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Slavia Sofia 0 20.5% 12.3% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 12.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.9% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 21.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1