Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 14:45 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.32) 0.64 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.0% 22.8% 13.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 9.2% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 10.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack43%43%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Plovdiv Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%17%33%33%17%25%
Draws33%58%46%8%17%13%
Loses17%25%21%58%67%63%

Form: Lokomotiv Plovdiv: WDWDWDWDLWDWDWDDLLWDDDLL • Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLLDDWLLWLLLDLWWLL

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Plovdiv Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
GF total12132513922
GF avg1.01.11.01.10.80.9
GA total111627212849
GA avg0.91.31.11.82.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%67%63%79%
1.525%25%21%63%
2.54%8%4%33%
3.50%8%4%13%
4.50%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets628325
Failed to score336369

Penalties

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
Wins12
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-54-01-47-0
Goals For3224
Goals Against5447

Model comparison

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away5.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Plovdiv = 1.74 (league 1.32), Septemvri Sofia = 0.64 (league 1.12)

Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 9.2% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 10.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 13.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1