Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:45 • Huvepharma Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.32) 0.80 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 29.6% 23.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
CSKA Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 13.2% 10.5% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLudogoretsCSKA Sofia
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack100%86%
Defense43%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ludogorets CSKA Sofia
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%54%56%69%33%52%
Draws33%31%32%23%33%28%
Loses8%15%12%8%33%20%

Form: Ludogorets: WWWWDWDDWDDLDLWWWDWWWLDWW • CSKA Sofia: DDLDLDWLDDDWWWWWWWLWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Ludogorets CSKA Sofia
HATHAT
GF total222446231336
GF avg1.81.81.81.81.11.4
GA total991881119
GA avg0.80.70.70.60.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLudogoretsCSKA Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%44%72%64%
1.556%12%40%12%
2.528%8%20%0%
3.512%4%8%0%
4.54%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLudogoretsCSKA Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets5914549
Failed to score134347

Penalties

MetricLudogoretsCSKA Sofia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricLudogoretsCSKA Sofia
Wins47
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-45-10-4
Biggest losses2-35-40-12-0
Goals For5454
Goals Against3512

Model comparison

MetricLudogoretsCSKA Sofia
Form45%55%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h85%15%
Goals70%30%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Ludogorets or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 10Bet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ludogorets = 1.23 (league 1.32), CSKA Sofia = 0.80 (league 1.11)

CSKA Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 13.2% 10.5% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 23.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1