Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 10:30 • Stadion Dragalevtsi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.32) 1.77 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 23.1% 58.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
0 - 2
11.6%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Arda Kardzhali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia 0 7.4% 13.1% 11.6% 6.8% 3.0% 1.1%
1 6.2% 10.9% 9.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.6% 4.6% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeptemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack15%23%
Defense31%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Septemvri Sofia Arda Kardzhali
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins33%14%23%38%31%35%
Draws8%14%12%31%31%31%
Loses58%71%65%31%38%35%

Form: Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLLDDWLLWLLLDLWWLLLL • Arda Kardzhali: LDWDLDLWLLWLDLWWDDWLWDWDLW

League goals

Metric Septemvri Sofia Arda Kardzhali
HATHAT
GF total13922121426
GF avg1.10.60.80.91.11.0
GA total213253111324
GA avg1.82.32.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeptemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%81%50%54%
1.519%62%31%27%
2.54%35%12%12%
3.54%12%4%0%
4.50%8%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeptemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
HATHAT
Clean sheets3256612
Failed to score38116713

Penalties

MetricSeptemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSeptemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
Wins22
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-00-5
Biggest losses1-47-00-33-0
Goals For2435
Goals Against4733

Model comparison

MetricSeptemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
Form27%73%
Att40%60%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total30.3%69.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Arda Kardzhali and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Sofia = 0.83 (league 1.32), Arda Kardzhali = 1.77 (league 1.12)

Arda Kardzhali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia 0 7.4% 13.1% 11.6% 6.8% 3.0% 1.1%
1 6.2% 10.9% 9.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.6% 4.6% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 58.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1