Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 15:30 • Hristo Botev Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.32) 0.49 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.9% 44.5% 24.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.9%
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botev Vratsa 0 33.9% 16.7% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack20%15%
Defense90%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botev Vratsa Lokomotiv Plovdiv
HATHAT
Played131326131225
Wins31%31%31%54%17%36%
Draws46%31%38%31%58%44%
Loses23%38%31%15%25%20%

Form: Botev Vratsa: DLDDDWWLDWLLWDWLLWDLDDDLWW • Lokomotiv Plovdiv: WDWDWDWDLWDWDWDDLLWDDDLLW

League goals

Metric Botev Vratsa Lokomotiv Plovdiv
HATHAT
GF total81220131326
GF avg0.60.90.81.01.11.0
GA total61521111627
GA avg0.51.20.80.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%76%64%
1.523%23%24%24%
2.54%8%4%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513729
Failed to score7613336

Penalties

MetricBotev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBotev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Wins21
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-54-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against2354

Model comparison

MetricBotev VratsaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Form62%38%
Att57%43%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Botev Vratsa or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.13 @ BetVictor
Away3.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botev Vratsa = 0.59 (league 1.32), Lokomotiv Plovdiv = 0.49 (league 1.12)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botev Vratsa 0 33.9% 16.7% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.9% · Draw 44.5% · Away win 24.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1