Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 15:30 • Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.32) 0.70 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.4% 24.3% 15.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Levski Sofia 0 9.7% 6.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 11.1% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLevski SofiaCherno More Varna
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack69%38%
Defense62%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Levski Sofia Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins85%69%77%38%46%42%
Draws8%8%8%46%31%38%
Loses8%23%15%15%23%19%

Form: Levski Sofia: WWWWDWWDLWWWWWLWWLWWWWWLWW • Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWWDWLDDWLLWWDDDLDWW

League goals

Metric Levski Sofia Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
GF total352358141731
GF avg2.71.82.21.11.31.2
GA total8101871017
GA avg0.60.80.70.50.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLevski SofiaCherno More Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%58%69%50%
1.565%8%31%12%
2.546%4%15%4%
3.515%0%4%0%
4.512%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLevski SofiaCherno More Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets74118513
Failed to score246538

Penalties

MetricLevski SofiaCherno More Varna
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total82

Streaks

MetricLevski SofiaCherno More Varna
Wins52
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-01-54-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-01-32-1
Goals For7543
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricLevski SofiaCherno More Varna
Form60%40%
Att64%36%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Levski Sofia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Bet365
Draw4.63 @ Pinnacle
Away10.00 @ BetVictor

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.58 @ Pinnacle
No1.58 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Levski Sofia = 1.64 (league 1.32), Cherno More Varna = 0.70 (league 1.12)

Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Levski Sofia 0 9.7% 6.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 11.1% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 15.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1