Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Tsar Samuil
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.41) 3.79 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.5% 6.1% 73.0%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.2%
0 - 4
10.6%
0 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Belasitsa 0 1.2% 4.7% 8.9% 11.2% 10.6% 8.1%
1 0.7% 2.8% 5.4% 6.8% 6.4% 4.9%
2 0.2% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.5%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBelasitsaPirin Blagoevgrad
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack20%90%
Defense10%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Belasitsa Pirin Blagoevgrad
HATHAT
Played257437
Wins0%0%0%50%33%43%
Draws50%40%43%0%33%14%
Loses50%60%57%50%33%43%

Form: Belasitsa: DLDLLLD • Pirin Blagoevgrad: DWLWWLL

League goals

Metric Belasitsa Pirin Blagoevgrad
HATHAT
GF total1234711
GF avg0.50.40.41.02.31.6
GA total38115510
GA avg1.51.61.61.31.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBelasitsaPirin Blagoevgrad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%100%86%86%
1.50%43%29%43%
2.50%14%14%14%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBelasitsaPirin Blagoevgrad
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricBelasitsaPirin Blagoevgrad
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBelasitsaPirin Blagoevgrad
Wins02
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-12-5
Biggest losses0-23-01-32-1
Goals For1125
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricBelasitsaPirin Blagoevgrad
Form25%75%
Att18%82%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total29.5%70.7%

Advice: Winner : Pirin Blagoevgrad

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.14 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Pinnacle
Away2.16 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Belasitsa = 0.60 (league 1.41), Pirin Blagoevgrad = 3.79 (league 0.91)

Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Belasitsa 0 1.2% 4.7% 8.9% 11.2% 10.6% 8.1%
1 0.7% 2.8% 5.4% 6.8% 6.4% 4.9%
2 0.2% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.5%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.5% · Draw 6.1% · Away win 73.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1