Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Pleven Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.40) 1.66 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.9% 23.0% 66.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.8%
0 - 2
16.5%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Marek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Pleven 0 11.9% 19.8% 16.5% 9.1% 3.8% 1.3%
1 5.5% 9.2% 7.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak PlevenMarek
Played55
Form13%13%
Attack40%30%
Defense0%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Pleven Marek
HATHAT
Played448527
Wins25%0%13%20%0%14%
Draws0%50%25%40%50%43%
Loses75%50%63%40%50%43%

Form: Spartak Pleven: WLLDLLLD • Marek: WDDLLLD

League goals

Metric Spartak Pleven Marek
HATHAT
GF total516404
GF avg1.30.30.80.80.00.6
GA total10414617
GA avg2.51.01.81.20.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak PlevenMarek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%57%57%
1.525%50%0%29%
2.50%13%0%14%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak PlevenMarek
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricSpartak PlevenMarek
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSpartak PlevenMarek
Wins11
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—1-0—
Biggest losses2-52-01-31-0
Goals For2110
Goals Against5231

Model comparison

MetricSpartak PlevenMarek
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h36%64%
Goals30%70%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Marek and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ 1xBet
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away2.02 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ 1xBet
No1.53 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Pleven = 0.46 (league 1.40), Marek = 1.66 (league 0.90)

Marek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Pleven 0 11.9% 19.8% 16.5% 9.1% 3.8% 1.3%
1 5.5% 9.2% 7.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.9% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 66.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1