Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 14:00 • PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.40) 4.06 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 9.4% 60.5%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.8%
1 - 3
6.7%
1 - 5
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets II 0 0.4% 1.8% 3.6% 4.8% 4.9% 3.9%
1 0.6% 2.4% 4.9% 6.7% 6.8% 5.5%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.4% 4.6% 4.7% 3.8%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 1.8%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLudogorets IIPirin Blagoevgrad
Played55
Form7%60%
Attack18%100%
Defense0%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ludogorets II Pirin Blagoevgrad
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins25%0%11%50%50%50%
Draws25%0%11%0%25%13%
Loses50%100%78%50%25%38%

Form: Ludogorets II: LWLLLLLDL • Pirin Blagoevgrad: DWLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Ludogorets II Pirin Blagoevgrad
HATHAT
GF total61741014
GF avg1.50.20.81.02.51.8
GA total612185510
GA avg1.52.42.01.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLudogorets IIPirin Blagoevgrad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%100%88%75%
1.511%44%38%38%
2.511%33%25%13%
3.511%11%13%0%
4.50%11%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLudogorets IIPirin Blagoevgrad
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score145101

Penalties

MetricLudogorets IIPirin Blagoevgrad
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLudogorets IIPirin Blagoevgrad
Wins12
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—2-12-5
Biggest losses1-35-01-32-1
Goals For4125
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricLudogorets IIPirin Blagoevgrad
Form10%90%
Att14%86%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Pirin Blagoevgrad and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ludogorets II = 1.39 (league 1.40), Pirin Blagoevgrad = 4.06 (league 0.92)

Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets II 0 0.4% 1.8% 3.6% 4.8% 4.9% 3.9%
1 0.6% 2.4% 4.9% 6.7% 6.8% 5.5%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.4% 4.6% 4.7% 3.8%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 1.8%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 60.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1