Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Minyor
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.39) 0.26 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.6% 12.0% 2.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
20.0%
1 - 0
16.6%
3 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ludogorets II
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Minyor Pernik 0 6.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.6% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.0% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.1% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK Minyor PernikLudogorets II
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack71%29%
Defense50%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Minyor Pernik Ludogorets II
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%40%30%40%0%20%
Draws60%20%40%20%0%10%
Loses20%40%30%40%100%70%

Form: FK Minyor Pernik: DLDDDWWWLL • Ludogorets II: LWLLLLLDLW

League goals

Metric FK Minyor Pernik Ludogorets II
HATHAT
GF total7613819
GF avg1.41.21.31.60.20.9
GA total651171219
GA avg1.21.01.11.42.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK Minyor PernikLudogorets II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%50%100%
1.540%10%20%40%
2.520%10%10%30%
3.50%0%10%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK Minyor PernikLudogorets II
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score123145

Penalties

MetricFK Minyor PernikLudogorets II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFK Minyor PernikLudogorets II
Wins31
Draws31
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-1
Biggest losses2-31-01-35-0
Goals For3341
Goals Against3135

Model comparison

MetricFK Minyor PernikLudogorets II
Form69%31%
Att71%29%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Winner : FK Minyor Pernik

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Superbet
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FK Minyor Pernik = 2.41 (league 1.39), Ludogorets II = 0.26 (league 0.91)

Ludogorets II
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Minyor Pernik 0 6.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.6% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.0% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.1% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.6% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 2.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1