Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Tsar Samuil
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.28 (league 1.40) 1.00 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.2% 36.2% 53.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.9%
0 - 1
27.8%
0 - 2
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Marek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Belasitsa 0 27.9% 27.8% 13.9% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2%
1 7.8% 7.8% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBelasitsaMarek
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack8%25%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Belasitsa Marek
HATHAT
Played47117411
Wins0%0%0%14%0%9%
Draws25%43%36%57%25%45%
Loses75%57%64%29%75%45%

Form: Belasitsa: DLDLLLDLDLL • Marek: WDDLLLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Belasitsa Marek
HATHAT
GF total123606
GF avg0.30.30.30.90.00.5
GA total711188513
GA avg1.81.61.61.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBelasitsaMarek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.527%91%55%73%
1.50%45%0%36%
2.50%27%0%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBelasitsaMarek
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score358145

Penalties

MetricBelasitsaMarek
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBelasitsaMarek
Wins01
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-0—
Biggest losses0-33-01-32-0
Goals For1110
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricBelasitsaMarek
Form40%60%
Att25%75%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Marek and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.35 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.25 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Belasitsa = 0.28 (league 1.40), Marek = 1.00 (league 0.90)

Marek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Belasitsa 0 27.9% 27.8% 13.9% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2%
1 7.8% 7.8% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.2% · Draw 36.2% · Away win 53.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1