Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 12:30 • Rakovski Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.41) 3.07 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.6% 13.4% 66.7%
best score tips
1 - 3
8.2%
1 - 2
8.0%
0 - 3
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevlievo 0 1.5% 4.6% 7.0% 7.2% 5.5% 3.4%
1 1.7% 5.2% 8.0% 8.2% 6.3% 3.9%
2 1.0% 2.9% 4.5% 4.6% 3.6% 2.2%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevlievoPirin Blagoevgrad
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack38%63%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevlievo Pirin Blagoevgrad
HATHAT
Played86147714
Wins13%17%14%43%29%36%
Draws25%33%29%29%14%21%
Loses63%50%57%29%57%43%

Form: Sevlievo: LDDDWLLLDWLLLL • Pirin Blagoevgrad: DWLWWLLWLWLDLD

League goals

Metric Sevlievo Pirin Blagoevgrad
HATHAT
GF total63961420
GF avg0.80.50.60.92.01.4
GA total11102161420
GA avg1.41.71.50.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevlievoPirin Blagoevgrad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%71%86%71%
1.57%43%29%43%
2.57%21%14%21%
3.50%7%7%7%
4.50%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevlievoPirin Blagoevgrad
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score437202

Penalties

MetricSevlievoPirin Blagoevgrad
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSevlievoPirin Blagoevgrad
Wins12
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-12-5
Biggest losses1-35-11-34-2
Goals For3125
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricSevlievoPirin Blagoevgrad
Form38%63%
Att38%63%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.0%63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pirin Blagoevgrad

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Betfair
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away2.45 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sevlievo = 1.14 (league 1.41), Pirin Blagoevgrad = 3.07 (league 0.91)

Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevlievo 0 1.5% 4.6% 7.0% 7.2% 5.5% 3.4%
1 1.7% 5.2% 8.0% 8.2% 6.3% 3.9%
2 1.0% 2.9% 4.5% 4.6% 3.6% 2.2%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.6% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 66.7%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1