Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 13:00 • Hristo Botev
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.40) 1.50 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.6% 26.2% 55.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 2
12.4%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fratria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0 11.1% 16.6% 12.4% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.7% 8.7% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.8% 4.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPirin BlagoevgradFratria
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack44%50%
Defense44%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Fratria
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%88%57%73%
Draws29%13%20%0%14%7%
Loses29%50%40%13%29%20%

Form: Pirin Blagoevgrad: DWLWWLLWLWLDLDW • Fratria: WWWWWWWLWDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Fratria
HATHAT
GF total61723191130
GF avg0.92.11.52.41.62.0
GA total615213811
GA avg0.91.91.40.41.10.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePirin BlagoevgradFratria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%80%60%
1.533%40%60%13%
2.520%20%33%0%
3.57%7%13%0%
4.57%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPirin BlagoevgradFratria
HATHAT
Clean sheets314516
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricPirin BlagoevgradFratria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPirin BlagoevgradFratria
Wins27
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-55-01-3
Biggest losses1-34-20-12-0
Goals For2553
Goals Against3412

Model comparison

MetricPirin BlagoevgradFratria
Form36%64%
Att47%53%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total44.4%55.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fratria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.20 @ Pinnacle
Away2.76 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pirin Blagoevgrad = 0.71 (league 1.40), Fratria = 1.50 (league 0.96)

Fratria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0 11.1% 16.6% 12.4% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.7% 8.7% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.8% 4.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.6% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 55.8%

vtt 3 , vtd1