Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 12:00 • Hristo Botev
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.39) 0.28 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.9% 33.6% 9.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.7%
0 - 0
25.2%
2 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Pleven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0 25.2% 7.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.7% 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPirin BlagoevgradSpartak Pleven
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack47%33%
Defense73%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Spartak Pleven
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins33%40%37%33%0%16%
Draws44%20%32%0%40%21%
Loses22%40%32%67%60%63%

Form: Pirin Blagoevgrad: DWLWWLLWLWLDLDWDDDW • Spartak Pleven: WLLDLLLDWDLLLDLWLLL

League goals

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Spartak Pleven
HATHAT
GF total8192712315
GF avg0.91.91.41.30.30.8
GA total81624161733
GA avg0.91.61.31.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePirin BlagoevgradSpartak Pleven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%68%53%79%
1.537%37%26%47%
2.516%16%0%26%
3.55%5%0%16%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPirin BlagoevgradSpartak Pleven
HATHAT
Clean sheets426224
Failed to score314279

Penalties

MetricPirin BlagoevgradSpartak Pleven
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPirin BlagoevgradSpartak Pleven
Wins21
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-52-0—
Biggest losses1-34-22-54-0
Goals For2521
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricPirin BlagoevgradSpartak Pleven
Form75%25%
Att58%42%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total76.2%23.8%

Advice: Double chance : Pirin Blagoevgrad or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away9.70 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.58 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pirin Blagoevgrad = 1.10 (league 1.39), Spartak Pleven = 0.28 (league 0.96)

Spartak Pleven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0 25.2% 7.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.7% 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 9.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1