Alianza Universidad vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Primera División — Peru

Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

Alianza Universidad

—

Deportivo Garcilaso

Expected Goals

0.65 (league 1.47) 2.41 (league 0.94)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
8.2%	15.5%	72.7%

best score tips

0 - 2

13.6%

0 - 1

11.3%

0 - 3

10.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Deportivo Garcilaso
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Alianza Universidad	0	4.7%	11.3%	13.6%	10.9%	6.6%	3.2%
	1	3.1%	7.4%	8.9%	7.1%	4.3%	2.1%
	2	1.0%	2.4%	2.9%	2.3%	1.4%	0.7%
	3	0.2%	0.5%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Alianza Universidad	Deportivo Garcilaso
Played	5	5
Form	47%	60%
Attack	45%	73%
Defense	27%	45%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%

FT probability

2.5+

52%

FT probability

3.5+

37%

FT probability

BTTS

65%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Alianza Universidad			Deportivo Garcilaso
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	14	27	14	13	27
Wins	15%	21%	19%	50%	38%	44%
Draws	31%	14%	22%	21%	38%	30%
Loses	54%	64%	59%	29%	23%	26%

Form: Alianza Universidad: DLLLDLLWDLLLDDLLWLLLWLDWWLL • Deportivo Garcilaso: DWWWDWWLWLLLLWLWDLWDWDDWDWD

League goals

Metric	Alianza Universidad			Deportivo Garcilaso
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	11	14	25	23	19	42
GF avg	0.8	1.0	0.9	1.6	1.5	1.6
GA total	19	29	48	12	15	27
GA avg	1.5	2.1	1.8	0.9	1.2	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Alianza Universidad		Deportivo Garcilaso
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	59%	81%	74%	67%
1.5	30%	56%	48%	22%
2.5	4%	30%	22%	11%
3.5	0%	11%	11%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Alianza Universidad			Deportivo Garcilaso
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	4	5	9
Failed to score	6	5	11	3	4	7

Penalties

Metric	Alianza Universidad	Deportivo Garcilaso
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	6 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	6

Streaks

Metric	Alianza Universidad	Deportivo Garcilaso
Wins	2	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	0-3	4-0	0-3
Biggest losses	0-3	4-0	1-3	3-2
Goals For	2	3	4	4
Goals Against	3	4	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Alianza Universidad	Deportivo Garcilaso
Form	44%	56%
Att	38%	62%
Def	43%	57%
Poisson Distribution	23%	77%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	41.3%	58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Garcilaso

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Alianza Universidad vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Universidad = 0.65 (league 1.47), Deportivo Garcilaso = 2.41 (league 0.94)

		Deportivo Garcilaso
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Alianza Universidad	0	4.7%	11.3%	13.6%	10.9%	6.6%	3.2%
	1	3.1%	7.4%	8.9%	7.1%	4.3%	2.1%
	2	1.0%	2.4%	2.9%	2.3%	1.4%	0.7%
	3	0.2%	0.5%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.2% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 72.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Alianza Universidad	Deportivo Garcilaso
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	6 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	6