Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Mansiche
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.47) 1.67 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.2% 22.8% 67.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.4%
0 - 2
17.0%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Universitario
0 1 2 3 4 5
UTC 0 12.2% 20.4% 17.0% 9.4% 3.9% 1.3%
1 5.3% 8.9% 7.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUTCUniversitario
Played55
Form13%73%
Attack27%55%
Defense27%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UTC Universitario
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins23%15%19%77%54%65%
Draws31%23%27%15%31%23%
Loses46%62%54%8%15%12%

Form: UTC: LLDDLWWLLWLWLLWDLDLDLLDDLL • Universitario: DWWWWDWWWLLLWWWWWDWDWWWDDW

League goals

Metric UTC Universitario
HATHAT
GF total111122341751
GF avg0.80.80.82.61.32.0
GA total15314671017
GA avg1.22.41.80.50.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUTCUniversitario
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%77%81%54%
1.523%46%54%12%
2.54%23%35%0%
3.54%15%15%0%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUTCUniversitario
HATHAT
Clean sheets4267512
Failed to score7512325

Penalties

MetricUTCUniversitario
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricUTCUniversitario
Wins25
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-26-01-3
Biggest losses0-46-00-12-0
Goals For4263
Goals Against4622

Model comparison

MetricUTCUniversitario
Form15%85%
Att33%67%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h29%71%
Goals9%91%
Total21.3%78.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Universitario and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.00 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.70 @ Marathonbet
Away1.39 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ William Hill
No1.56 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.84 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UTC = 0.43 (league 1.47), Universitario = 1.67 (league 0.94)

Universitario
0 1 2 3 4 5
UTC 0 12.2% 20.4% 17.0% 9.4% 3.9% 1.3%
1 5.3% 8.9% 7.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.2% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 67.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1