Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.45) 0.81 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.9% 18.2% 12.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Comerciantes Unidos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 4.8% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 8.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.8% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza LimaComerciantes Unidos
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack37%37%
Defense74%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Lima Comerciantes Unidos
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins54%54%54%15%23%19%
Draws31%23%27%46%8%27%
Loses15%23%19%38%69%54%

Form: Alianza Lima: WLWWWLDWWLDWWDWWWDLDWDWWDL • Comerciantes Unidos: DLDLDWLLDDLLLLWLLLLDLDWLWW

League goals

Metric Alianza Lima Comerciantes Unidos
HATHAT
GF total221133131427
GF avg1.70.81.31.01.11.0
GA total91120162541
GA avg0.70.80.81.21.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza LimaComerciantes Unidos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%46%69%81%
1.531%15%31%46%
2.515%12%4%23%
3.54%4%0%8%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza LimaComerciantes Unidos
HATHAT
Clean sheets7714325
Failed to score347448

Penalties

MetricAlianza LimaComerciantes Unidos
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total84

Streaks

MetricAlianza LimaComerciantes Unidos
Wins31
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-23-00-2
Biggest losses3-43-00-43-0
Goals For5232
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricAlianza LimaComerciantes Unidos
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h80%20%
Goals78%22%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ Betano
Draw6.20 @ Betano
Away13.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Lima = 2.23 (league 1.45), Comerciantes Unidos = 0.81 (league 0.95)

Comerciantes Unidos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 4.8% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 8.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.8% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 12.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1