Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:30 •
Estádio Regional Willie Davids
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.51)
0.67 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 33.8% | 24.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.9%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| City London | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grêmio Maringá | 0 | 18.9% | 12.7% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.8% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grêmio Maringá | City London |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 80% | 60% |
| Defense | 30% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grêmio Maringá | City London | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 67% | 60% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Grêmio Maringá: DWLDD • City London: DDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Grêmio Maringá | City London | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grêmio Maringá | City London | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grêmio Maringá | City London | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grêmio Maringá | City London |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grêmio Maringá | City London |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grêmio Maringá | City London |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or City London
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Grêmio Maringá = 0.99 (league 1.51), City London = 0.67 (league 1.12)
| City London | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grêmio Maringá | 0 | 18.9% | 12.7% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.8% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 24.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1