Super Liga — Moldova
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 11:00 • Stadionul Zimbru
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.51 (league 1.65) 0.37 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 2.7% 0.7%
best score tips
4 - 0
13.1%
5 - 0
11.8%
3 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Politehnica UTM
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zimbru 0 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.8% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZimbruPolitehnica UTM
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack62%62%
Defense54%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zimbru Politehnica UTM
HATHAT
Played9112011920
Wins56%64%60%27%11%20%
Draws33%18%25%0%11%5%
Loses11%18%15%73%78%75%

Form: Zimbru: LLWWDWWWDDWWWWWDDLWW • Politehnica UTM: LLLLDLLLLLLWLLLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Zimbru Politehnica UTM
HATHAT
GF total22264814822
GF avg2.42.42.41.30.91.1
GA total61319292857
GA avg0.71.21.02.63.12.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZimbruPolitehnica UTM
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%55%60%95%
1.565%30%35%70%
2.540%10%10%60%
3.515%0%5%35%
4.515%0%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZimbruPolitehnica UTM
HATHAT
Clean sheets549011
Failed to score112538

Penalties

MetricZimbruPolitehnica UTM
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricZimbruPolitehnica UTM
Wins51
Draws21
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-64-11-2
Biggest losses2-33-00-57-0
Goals For7642
Goals Against3357

Model comparison

MetricZimbruPolitehnica UTM
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total67.8%32.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Zimbru and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Betano
Draw6.25 @ Bet365
Away7.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Marathonbet
No2.34 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zimbru = 4.51 (league 1.65), Politehnica UTM = 0.37 (league 1.70)

Politehnica UTM
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zimbru 0 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.8% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 2.7% · Away win 0.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1