Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:00 • Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.38) 0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 35.8% 43.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.6%
0 - 1
21.3%
1 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sant Andreu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poblense 0 22.6% 21.3% 10.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.3% 11.6% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoblenseSant Andreu
Played44
Form58%33%
Attack44%44%
Defense78%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.54 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Poblense Sant Andreu
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%0%50%25%
Draws50%0%25%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%50%50%50%

Form: Poblense: WLDW • Sant Andreu: LDWL

League goals

Metric Poblense Sant Andreu
HATHAT
GF total134044
GF avg0.51.51.00.02.01.0
GA total022134
GA avg0.01.00.50.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoblenseSant Andreu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%25%75%
1.525%0%25%25%
2.525%0%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoblenseSant Andreu
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricPoblenseSant Andreu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPoblenseSant Andreu
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-3—2-4
Biggest losses—1-00-11-0
Goals For1304
Goals Against0112

Model comparison

MetricPoblenseSant Andreu
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Poblense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Superbet
Away2.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Poblense = 0.54 (league 1.38), Sant Andreu = 0.94 (league 1.06)

Sant Andreu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poblense 0 22.6% 21.3% 10.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.3% 11.6% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 35.8% · Away win 43.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1