Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 09:30 • Estadio El Collao
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.44) 0.94 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.8% 32.4% 34.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.8%
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Poblense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcoyano 0 15.8% 14.9% 7.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.4% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcoyanoPoblense
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack38%38%
Defense54%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcoyano Poblense
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins67%0%40%67%50%60%
Draws33%50%40%33%0%20%
Loses0%50%20%0%50%20%

Form: Alcoyano: DDWLW • Poblense: WLDWW

League goals

Metric Alcoyano Poblense
HATHAT
GF total415235
GF avg1.30.51.00.71.51.0
GA total246022
GA avg0.72.01.20.01.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcoyanoPoblense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%60%40%
1.520%40%20%0%
2.50%20%20%0%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcoyanoPoblense
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricAlcoyanoPoblense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlcoyanoPoblense
Wins11
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-01-3
Biggest losses—4-1—1-0
Goals For2113
Goals Against2401

Model comparison

MetricAlcoyanoPoblense
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Poblense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 10Bet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alcoyano = 0.91 (league 1.44), Poblense = 0.94 (league 1.12)

Poblense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcoyano 0 15.8% 14.9% 7.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.4% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 34.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1