Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio El Collao
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.14 (league 1.42) 1.14 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 13.0% 10.2%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
7.8%
3 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Castellón II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcoyano 0 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.8% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.6% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcoyanoCastellón II
Played55
Form73%7%
Attack78%56%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.616 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcoyano Castellón II
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins67%13%41%38%22%29%
Draws22%63%41%38%11%24%
Loses11%25%18%25%67%47%

Form: Alcoyano: DDWLWDDLLWDWDWWWD • Castellón II: LWLWDWLDWDWLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Alcoyano Castellón II
HATHAT
GF total13417151530
GF avg1.40.51.01.91.71.8
GA total6713132942
GA avg0.70.90.81.63.22.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcoyanoCastellón II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%47%71%100%
1.535%18%53%71%
2.56%6%41%47%
3.50%6%12%12%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcoyanoCastellón II
HATHAT
Clean sheets549000
Failed to score257145

Penalties

MetricAlcoyanoCastellón II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAlcoyanoCastellón II
Wins31
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-12-4
Biggest losses0-14-11-37-3
Goals For3244
Goals Against2437

Model comparison

MetricAlcoyanoCastellón II
Form92%8%
Att58%42%
Def84%16%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total65.6%34.4%

Advice: Double chance : Alcoyano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.51 @ Dafabet
Draw4.48 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Unibet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcoyano = 3.14 (league 1.42), Castellón II = 1.14 (league 1.04)

Castellón II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcoyano 0 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.8% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.6% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 10.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1