Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 10:00 •
Estadio Balear
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.37)
1.04 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.3% | 20.0% | 17.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.5%
1 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Terrassa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Baleares | 0 | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Atlético Baleares carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 142 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Atlético Baleares +20.3, Terrassa -16.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Atlético Baleares
vs
Terrassa
Elo gapAtlético Baleares +142
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo3181.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3181.4
Elo home share
69%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Atlético Baleares | Terrassa |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1644.4 | 1537 |
| Form Elo | 1662.3 | 1533.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1575.1 | 1502.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1607.6 | 1466.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1605.5 | 1529.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +20.3 | -16.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Atlético Baleares last-5 Elo change: +20.3; Terrassa last-5 Elo change: -16.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Baleares | Terrassa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 63% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Baleares | Terrassa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 69% | 38% | 53% | 44% | 25% | 34% |
| Draws | 25% | 31% | 28% | 31% | 50% | 41% |
| Loses | 6% | 31% | 19% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Atlético BalearesWWLWWLDDLDWWWWLDDWDWLWDDWDWLWWWW
TerrassaLWDLWDLDWWDDDLWDWWDDLDDLWWWWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Baleares | Terrassa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 16 | 49 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 23 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Baleares | Terrassa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 59% | 75% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 22% | 28% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 13% | 6% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Baleares | Terrassa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Baleares | Terrassa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Baleares | Terrassa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Baleares | Terrassa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.68 @ Unibet
Draw3.85 @ Dafabet
Away6.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ Betano
No1.73 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…