Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 10:00 •
Camp Municipal Vidreres
Expected Goals
2.72 (league 1.39)
0.94 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.0%
3 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Torrent | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Girona II | 0 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Girona II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 129 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Girona II -17.8, Torrent -16.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Girona II
vs
Torrent
Elo gapGirona II +129
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo3023.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3023.6
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Girona II | Torrent |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1558.6 | 1465 |
| Form Elo | 1560.5 | 1467.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1536.6 | 1467.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1552.6 | 1479.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1584.6 | 1454.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -17.8 | -16.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Girona II last-5 Elo change: -17.8; Torrent last-5 Elo change: -16.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Girona II | Torrent |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 63% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Girona II | Torrent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 50% | 19% | 34% | 19% | 19% | 19% |
| Draws | 38% | 31% | 34% | 50% | 6% | 28% |
| Loses | 13% | 50% | 31% | 31% | 75% | 53% |
Girona IILWDWDWWLDDDLWLWLLLDWDLWWDDWLDDWL
TorrentDLDLDLWLDLLWDLLDDLLLLLDWLWWLWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Girona II | Torrent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 14 | 42 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 18 | 33 | 17 | 34 | 51 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Girona II | Torrent | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 75% | 75% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 25% | 28% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 3% | 0% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Girona II | Torrent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Girona II | Torrent |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Girona II | Torrent |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-3 | 0-3 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Girona II | Torrent |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.74 @ Unibet
Draw3.65 @ Betano
Away5.64 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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