Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 10:00 •
Estadio Camp Nou Municipal
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.37)
0.73 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5% | 20.8% | 13.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Olot | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Reddis | 0 | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Reddis carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 74 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Reddis -4.1, Olot -5.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Reddis
vs
Olot
Elo gapReddis +74
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo3053.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3053.8
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Reddis | Olot |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1546.4 | 1507.4 |
| Form Elo | 1541.5 | 1495 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1528.1 | 1480.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1562.2 | 1432.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1558.1 | 1565.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -4.1 | -5.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Reddis last-5 Elo change: -4.1; Olot last-5 Elo change: -5.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Reddis | Olot |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 44% | 25% |
| Defense | 56% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Reddis | Olot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 56% | 31% | 44% | 44% | 13% | 28% |
| Draws | 13% | 31% | 22% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 31% | 38% | 34% | 6% | 63% | 34% |
ReddisWLWWWLLWWLLDDWDWWWLLDWDDLLWWLDWL
OlotDWDWLDLWLDDDWLDLDLWWDWDLWLLLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Reddis | Olot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 18 | 48 | 18 | 11 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 17 | 21 | 38 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Reddis | Olot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 72% | 66% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 34% | 22% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 9% | 3% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Reddis | Olot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Reddis | Olot |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Reddis | Olot |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Reddis | Olot |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.07 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Betano
Away4.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ Betano
No1.75 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
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