Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 10:00 •
Palladium Can Misses
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.37)
0.66 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5% | 21.6% | 12.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Andratx | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 0 | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 63 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas -15.1, Andratx +6.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
vs
Andratx
Elo gapIbiza Islas Pitiusas +63
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2940.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2940.4
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Andratx |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1484.3 | 1456.1 |
| Form Elo | 1462.6 | 1445.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1512.2 | 1458.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1434.7 | 1446.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1529.3 | 1408.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -15.1 | +6.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Ibiza Islas Pitiusas last-5 Elo change: -15.1; Andratx last-5 Elo change: +6.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Andratx |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 31% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Andratx | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 17 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 53% | 6% | 28% | 44% | 0% | 22% |
| Draws | 13% | 41% | 28% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 53% | 44% | 31% | 75% | 53% |
Ibiza Islas PitiusasWLDDLLLLWLWWDWWDLWDLDWDLLLDWDLLL
AndratxWWLLLWLWLDLDDWLDDLLLLWLLLDLLDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Andratx | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 26 | 41 | 18 | 36 | 54 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Andratx | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 78% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 38% | 22% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 9% | 3% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Andratx | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Andratx |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Andratx |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 5-3 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Andratx |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.54 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.70 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
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