Sun, May 3 2026 • 10:00 •
Campo de fútbol porreres
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.39)
0.74 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 42.9% | 41.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.7%
0 - 1
25.0%
1 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Alcoyano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Porreres | 0 | 33.7% | 25.0% | 9.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Alcoyano carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 118 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Porreres -20.2, Alcoyano +26.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Porreres
vs
Alcoyano
Elo gapAlcoyano +118
Home / draw / away28% / 18% / 54%
Expected home share34%
Combined Elo3033.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3033.7
Elo home share
34%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Porreres | Alcoyano |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1440.6 | 1593.1 |
| Form Elo | 1426.3 | 1621 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1478.2 | 1525.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1391.9 | 1415.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1531.4 | 1678.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -20.2 | +26.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Porreres last-5 Elo change: -20.2; Alcoyano last-5 Elo change: +26.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Porreres | Alcoyano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 73% |
| Attack | 33% | 53% |
| Defense | 20% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Porreres | Alcoyano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 25% | 12% | 18% | 53% | 25% | 39% |
| Draws | 25% | 24% | 24% | 35% | 56% | 45% |
| Loses | 50% | 65% | 58% | 12% | 19% | 15% |
PorreresLDDWLLLDWDLLDLWDLLDLDLLWLLLWWLLLL
AlcoyanoDDWLWDDLLWDWDWWWDDDLLDDDWWDWWWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Porreres | Alcoyano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 21 | 23 | 44 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Porreres | Alcoyano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 82% | 55% | 42% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 33% | 27% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 12% | 6% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Porreres | Alcoyano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Porreres | Alcoyano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Porreres | Alcoyano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Porreres | Alcoyano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 26.5% | 73.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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