Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 21:00 •
Progress Park
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.57)
0.53 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.8% | 19.6% | 9.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
2 - 0
16.0%
3 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| St. David’s | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paradise | 0 | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paradise | St. David’s |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 48% | 41% |
| Defense | 74% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paradise | St. David’s | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 86% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 14% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 13% | 19% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 38% | 31% |
Form: Paradise: WDWWWWWWDLWLWDW • St. David’s: LWDLDWWWLDLWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Paradise | St. David’s | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 10 | 19 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paradise | St. David’s | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 40% | 69% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 20% | 50% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 7% | 38% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 7% | 13% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paradise | St. David’s | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paradise | St. David’s |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paradise | St. David’s |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-3 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paradise | St. David’s |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Paradise or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paradise = 1.94 (league 1.57), St. David’s = 0.53 (league 1.37)
| St. David’s | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paradise | 0 | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 9.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1