Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 11:30 •
Armaviri Hakob Tonoyani Stadium
Expected Goals
6.04 (league 1.52)
0.28 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
best score tips
5 - 0
12.0%
4 - 0
9.9%
3 - 0
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ararat II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sardarapat | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sardarapat | Ararat II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 73% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sardarapat | Ararat II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 25% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 43% |
Form: Sardarapat: WWWWWWWW • Ararat II: WWLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Sardarapat | Ararat II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 18 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sardarapat | Ararat II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 63% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 13% | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 88% | 0% | 43% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sardarapat | Ararat II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sardarapat | Ararat II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sardarapat | Ararat II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sardarapat | Ararat II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 66% | 34% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 74.8% | 25.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Sardarapat and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sardarapat = 6.04 (league 1.52), Ararat II = 0.28 (league 1.58)
| Ararat II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sardarapat | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.1% · Draw 0.6% · Away win 0.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1