Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:00 •
Solomon Mahlangu Stadium
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.53)
0.61 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.2% | 23.7% | 13.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Polokwane City U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| TS Galaxy U23 | 0 | 10.3% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.1% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
TS Galaxy U23 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 66 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: TS Galaxy U23 -21.1, Polokwane City U23 +24.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
TS Galaxy U23
vs
Polokwane City U23
Elo gapTS Galaxy U23 +66
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2876.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2876.5
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | TS Galaxy U23 | Polokwane City U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1453.6 | 1422.9 |
| Form Elo | 1442.6 | 1428.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1486.4 | 1460.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1491.4 | 1314.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1422.2 | 1486.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -21.1 | +24.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. TS Galaxy U23 last-5 Elo change: -21.1; Polokwane City U23 last-5 Elo change: +24.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | TS Galaxy U23 | Polokwane City U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 0% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | TS Galaxy U23 | Polokwane City U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 50% | 15% | 33% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
| Draws | 7% | 31% | 19% | 50% | 42% | 46% |
| Loses | 43% | 54% | 48% | 36% | 42% | 38% |
TS Galaxy U23LWWLWLLLWLWLDLWLDDWLLWDWLDL
Polokwane City U23WDLLDWLWDLDLDLDLDDLDLWLDDD
League goals
| Metric | TS Galaxy U23 | Polokwane City U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 13 | 34 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 20 | 26 | 46 | 15 | 20 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | TS Galaxy U23 | Polokwane City U23 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 74% | 35% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 48% | 19% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 33% | 4% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 7% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | TS Galaxy U23 | Polokwane City U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | TS Galaxy U23 | Polokwane City U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | TS Galaxy U23 | Polokwane City U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-2 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | TS Galaxy U23 | Polokwane City U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…