Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 10:00 • Princess Magogo Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.53) 1.92 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 22.2% 48.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chippa United U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
AmaZulu U23 0 3.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
1 5.0% 9.7% 9.3% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.5% 6.8% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

AmaZulu U23 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 148 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: AmaZulu U23 -26.1, Chippa United U23 -10.7.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
AmaZulu U23 Elo 1447.8 · -26.1
vs
Chippa United U23 Elo 1334.7 · -10.7
Elo gapAmaZulu U23 +148
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo2782.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2782.5
Elo home share 70%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric AmaZulu U23 Chippa United U23
Overall Elo1447.81334.7
Form Elo1429.81322.2
Home / Away Elo1456.91464.3
Attack Elo1438.61423.3
Defense Elo1408.51219.3
Last 5 Elo change-26.1-10.7

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. AmaZulu U23 last-5 Elo change: -26.1; Chippa United U23 last-5 Elo change: -10.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmaZulu U23Chippa United U23
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack0%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AmaZulu U23 Chippa United U23
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins23%43%33%14%23%19%
Draws15%29%22%7%8%7%
Loses62%29%44%79%69%74%
AmaZulu U23LWWWLLLWWLDDLWLWDWLDLDWLLDL
Chippa United U23LWLLLLWWLWDLLLLLLLLLWLLLLDL

League goals

Metric AmaZulu U23 Chippa United U23
HATHAT
GF total121830171633
GF avg0.91.31.11.21.21.2
GA total281745353166
GA avg2.21.21.72.52.42.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmaZulu U23Chippa United U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%78%59%96%
1.526%48%26%74%
2.511%26%15%41%
3.54%11%11%22%
4.50%4%7%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmaZulu U23Chippa United U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets156101
Failed to score6286511

Penalties

MetricAmaZulu U23Chippa United U23
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAmaZulu U23Chippa United U23
Wins32
Draws21
Losses39

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-36-24-5
Biggest losses0-45-01-55-1
Goals For4365
Goals Against4555

Model comparison

MetricAmaZulu U23Chippa United U23
Form80%20%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total58.7%41.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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